Daya Saing Molases Indonesia di Lima Negara Tujuan Ekspor

Abstract

Permintaan molases global mengalami pertumbuhan selama sepuluh tahun terakhir. Indonesia sebagai eksportir molases terbesar kedua di dunia. Namun, keberlanjutan ekspor molases Indonesia menghadapi tantangan dengan adanya kebijakan peningkatan program bioetanol sehingga terjadi persaingan pasar oleh negara lain. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis daya saing dan pengembangan ekspor molases Indonesia dengan negara kompetitor di lima negara tujuan ekspor. Metode yang digunakan meliputi Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Export Product Dynamics (EPD), dan X-Model. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa molases Indonesia memiliki daya saing yang kuat di lima negara tujuan ekspor, dengan posisi perdagangan paling menguntungkan di Filipina (Rising Star). Selain itu, hasil analisis X-Model menunjukkan keberlanjutan ekspor molases Indonesia paling potensial berada di pasar Filipina. Berdasarkan kondisi tersebut, Indonesia perlu meningkatkan daya saing dengan potensi yang dimiliki.

Global demand for molasses has grown over the past decade. Indonesia is the second-largest exporter of molasses in the world. However, the sustainability of Indonesia’s molasses exports faces challenges due to policies promoting bioethanol programs, which have intensified market competition from other countries. This study aims to analyze the competitiveness and export development of Indonesian molasses in comparison with competing countries across five main export destination markets. The methods used include Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Export Product Dynamics (EPD), and the X-Model. The results indicate that Indonesian molasses has strong competitiveness in all five export destinations, with the most favorable trade position found in the Philippines (Rising Star). Furthermore, the X-Model analysis reveals that the Philippines holds the highest potential for sustaining Indonesia’s molasses exports. Based on these findings, Indonesia needs to enhance its competitiveness by optimizing its existing potential.