Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Impor Jeruk Lima Negara Anggota ASEAN (ASEAN-5) dari China

Abstract

International trade has growth since General Agrrement on Tarif and Trade (GATT) established. Then, World Trade Organization (WTO) was established to develop international trade on developing country. International trade between China and ASEAN countries has begun since many years ago, and ACFTA widen the opportunity of international trade. Oranges is one of the traded comodity between China and ASEAN countries. ACFTA agreement has changed the China oranges import value to ASEAN-5 (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand). The purpose of this study are (1) to determine the determinant of China oranges import to ASEAN-5 and (2) to analyze the effect of ACFTA policy on China oranges trade balance to the ASEAN-5. The gravity model that has been used showed that economic distance, exchanged rate, China real GDP, and ASEAN real GDP are significantly effected the China oranges import. Meanwhile, ACFTA membership (dummy variable) as an ACFTA policy parameters is not significantly effected the China oranges Import.