| dc.contributor.advisor | Firdaus, Muhammad | |
| dc.contributor.author | Nasution, Muhammad Iqbal | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2022-08-15T06:15:11Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2022-08-15T06:15:11Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2022 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://repository.ipb.ac.id/handle/123456789/113598 | |
| dc.description.abstract | Telur ayam ras merupakan salah satu diantara sebelas komoditas pangan utama selain minyak goreng dan cabai merah. Berdasarkan komoditas sumber bahan makanan penyumbang inflasi atau deflasi Desember 2020, komoditas telur ayam ras merupakan komoditas pemegang andil inflasi terbesar kedua setelah cabai merah. Oleh karena itu, kestabilan harga telur ayam ras sangat penting, mengingat andil inflasi telur ayam ras cukup tinggi berdasarkan bahan makanan. Studi ini bertujuan untuk mengkaji pengaruh harga telur ayam ras beserta determinan lainnya terhadap inflasi regional serta mengkaji interaksi spasial variabel determinan inflasi dan spillover effect inflasi regional. Metode penelitian yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah model regresi Panel Spasial. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa harga komoditas telur ayam ras, kredit UMKM, serta pandemi covid memiliki pengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap inflasi regional. Sementara UMP dan suku bunga kredit perbankan asing dan campuran-konsumsi berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap inflasi. Lalu terdapat adanya interaksi efek spasial yang positif dan signifikan dalam penelitian ini, akan tetapi tidak terjadi spillover effect inflasi di tingkat regional. Hal ini dikarenakan model terbaik yang dipilih dalam penelitian ini merupakan Spatial Error Model (SEM). Lag pada SEM muncul sebagai komponen eror yang menunjukkan bahwa lag tersebut hanya dapat dijelaskan di luar model. | id |
| dc.description.abstract | Chicken eggs are one of the eleven main food commodities in addition to cooking oil and red chilies. Based on food source commodities that contributed to inflation or deflation in December 2020, broiler eggs are the commodity with the second largest share of inflation after red chili. Therefore, the stability of the price of purebred chicken eggs is very important, considering that the share of purebred chicken egg inflation is quite high based on food ingredients. This study aims to examine the effect of the price of broiler eggs and other determinants of regional inflation as well as to examine the spatial interaction of the variables of inflation determinants and the spillover effect of regional inflation. The research method used in this study is the Spatial Panel regression model. The results showed that the commodity prices of broiler eggs, MSME loans, and the covid pandemic had a negative and significant impact on regional inflation. Meanwhile, the UMP and foreign bank lending rates and mixed-consumption have a positive and significant impact on inflation. Then there is a positive and significant interaction of spatial effects in this study, but there is no spillover effect of inflation at the regional level. This is because the best model chosen in this study is the Spatial Error Model (SEM). The lag in SEM appears as an error component indicating that the lag can only be explained outside the model. | id |
| dc.language.iso | id | id |
| dc.publisher | IPB University | id |
| dc.title | Spillover Effect Inflasi Regional yang Dipengaruhi oleh Telur Ayam Ras Beserta Determinan Lainnya Periode 2018-2021 | id |
| dc.title.alternative | Regional Inflation Spillover Effect Influenced by the Price of Chicken Eggs and Other Determinants for the 2018-2021 Period | id |
| dc.type | Undergraduate Thesis | id |
| dc.subject.keyword | Chicken eggs | id |
| dc.subject.keyword | Inflation | id |
| dc.subject.keyword | Spillover effect | id |
| dc.subject.keyword | Spatial Error Model | id |
| dc.subject.keyword | Spatial panel regression | id |
