| dc.contributor.advisor | Firdaus, Muhammad | |
| dc.contributor.author | Ayuwandini, Lufita | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2022-08-10T00:05:17Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2022-08-10T00:05:17Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2022 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://repository.ipb.ac.id/handle/123456789/113358 | |
| dc.description.abstract | Pandemi Covid-19 menyebabkan adanya guncangan pada indikator makroekonomi yaitu inflasi. Di sisi lain pandemi Covid-19 menyebabkan trade shock tinggi pada tanaman hortikultura sebesar 8,16 persen. Cabai rawit sebagai komoditas hortikultura sekaligus pangan terdampak yang memiliki fluktuasi harga tinggi dibuktikan dengan koefisien keragaman sebesar 66,91 persen. Fluktuasi harga cabai rawit memengaruhi indikator makroekonomi yaitu inflasi. Pengendalian inflasi dibutuhkan untuk menjaga stabilitas perekonomian. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui determinan inflasi regional dari sisi moneter yaitu suku bunga kredit dan kredit UMKM serta non moneter yaitu harga cabai rawit, upah minimum provinsi, infrastuktur dan pandemi Covid-19 terhadap inflasi regional. Penelitian ini juga bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh interaksi spasial terhadap spillover effect inflasi regional. Penelitian menggunakan data bulanan dari 34 provinsi di Indonesia dengan periode 2018-2021 serta dianalisis menggunakan metode panel spasial dengan model terbaik Spatial Autoregressive (SAR). Hasil penelitian menujukkan bahwa variabel harga cabai rawit dan upah minimum provinsi berpengaruh positif terhadap inflasi regional. Variabel suku bunga kredit, kredit UMKM, dan pandemi Covid-19 berpengaruh negatif terhadap inflasi regional. Hasil penelitian juga menunjukkan adanya interaksi spasial antar provinsi yang bertetangga mempengaruhi tingkat inflasi regional suatu wilayah yang menyebabkan spillover effect inflasi regional. | id |
| dc.description.abstract | The Covid-19 pandemic has caused shocks to macroeconomic indicators, namely inflation. The Covid-19 pandemic caused a high trade shock in horticultural crops, 8.16 percent. Cayenne pepper as a horticultural commodity with high price fluctuations is evidenced by the coefficient of variance, 66.91 percent. Fluctuations in the price of cayenne pepper affect inflation. Inflation control is needed to maintain economic stability. This study aims to determine the determinants of regional inflation from the monetary side, namely credit rate and MSME loans. Non-monetary side, cayenne pepper price, the provincial minimum wage, infrastructure and the Covid-19 pandemic on regional inflation. This study also aims to analyze the effect of spatial interaction on the spillover effect of regional inflation. This study uses data from 34 provinces in Indonesia for 2018-2021 and is analyzed using the spatial panel method with the best model Spatial Autoregressive. The results showed that cayenne pepper price and the provincial minimum wage positively affected regional inflation. Credit rates, MSME loans, and the Covid-19 pandemic negatively affected regional inflation. The results also show that spatial interaction between neighbouring provinces affects a region's regional inflation rate which causes a spillover effect of regional inflation. | id |
| dc.description.sponsorship | Bank Indonesia Institute (BINS) | id |
| dc.language.iso | id | id |
| dc.publisher | IPB University | id |
| dc.title | Pengaruh Harga Cabai Rawit dan Determinan Lainnya terhadap Spillover Effect Inflasi Regional Sebelum dan Saat Pandemi Covid-19 | id |
| dc.title.alternative | The Effect of Cayenne Pepper Prices and Other Determinants on the Spillover Effect of Regional Inflation Before and During the Covid-19 Pandemic | id |
| dc.type | Undergraduate Thesis | id |
| dc.subject.keyword | Cayenne Pepper Prices | id |
| dc.subject.keyword | Covid-19 | id |
| dc.subject.keyword | Inflation | id |
| dc.subject.keyword | Spatial Panel | id |
| dc.subject.keyword | Spillover Effect | id |
