| dc.description.abstract | Indonesia is listed as an exporter of nutmeg seeds with the highest export
value during 2012 to 2020. However, the growth in the value of exports to the
main export destination countries tend to be negative. In addition, the growth in
the value of exports was lower than the growth in the value of imports of nutmeg.
This means that Indonesia has not been able to optimize its export potential.
Export development can be done by knowing the competitiveness of the export
destination country and knowing the determinants of the nutmeg trade. Countries
that have strong commodity competitiveness in export destination countries will
be able to dominate and survive in the midst of global competition.
This study aims to 1) determine the competitiveness of Indonesian nutmeg
on the world market and in ten export destination countries, 2) determine the
export position of nutmeg in export destination countries, 3) determine the factors
that influence the flow of Indonesian nutmeg trade to destination countries.
exports, and 4) knowing the export potential of Indonesian nutmeg seeds. The
study uses secondary data in the form of panel data of whole and powdered
nutmeg for the period 2012 to 2019 with research variables namely Indonesia's
PDB, PDB of export destination countries, economic distance, population, and
sanitary and phytosanitary dummy (SPS). The data is processed using revealed
comparative advantage (RCA) analysis to determine competitiveness, dynamic
revealed comparative advantage (DRCA) to determine the position of
competitiveness, gravity model approach to determine the determinants of nutmeg
trade, and trade potential analysis to determine the potential trade in nutmeg in
Indonesia. future.
The results of the analysis using Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA)
show that whole nutmeg seeds and powdered nutmeg from Indonesia are
competitive in the international market. Indonesia's nutmeg seeds in ten export
destination countries are also competitive, with the highest competitiveness of
whole nutmeg seeds found in Italy and Germany, while the competitiveness of
powdered nutmeg is highest in Germany and France. Based on the Dynamic
Revealed Comparative Advantage (DRCA) analysis, the results show that the
competitiveness growth of the two products has always been positive in Japan,
thus bringing the competitiveness position in Japan to a rising star in the fourth
period (2018-2020).
The results of the gravity model approach show that Indonesia's GDP, GDP of
export destination countries, and the SPS dummy have a negative effect on trade
in whole nutmeg seeds, while economic distance and population have a positive
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effect. Meanwhile, the effect on the trade of powdered nutmeg by Indonesia's
GDP, export destination GDP, population, and the SPS dummy is positive, while
the economic distance is negative. In the future, Indonesia's exports of whole
nutmeg seeds still have the potential to expand to all export destination countries.
Meanwhile, the expansion of Indonesia's nutmeg powder exports is still possible
to expand it to India, the United States, and Japan. | id |
