Modelling and simulating spatial distribution pattern of urban growth using integration of gis and cellular automata

Abstract

This research has a purpose to study and develop a model that can representing and simulating spatial distribution pattern of urban growth in Bandung Area. Integration of GIS and Cellular automata modelling was used to develop the urban growth simulation model. GIS with spatial analysis used to prepare and process necessary data that are later incorporated into CA-based model. Analyze of markov chain change detection during 1991-2007 in Bandung area was done to analyze and detection trend probability conversion from Paddy field, Plantation, shrub and forest into built up-area. The result was shown that the largest increase of built-up area for each year development is the result from land conversion of paddy field into built-up area. Radial sprawl for built-up area development was impact to conversion from Paddy field to built-up area and make paddy field