Pengaruh Perubahan Iklim dan Determinan Lainnya terhadap Harga Kopi di Indonesia

Abstract

Climate change is a severe problem that will be faced by all people in the world. One of the climate changes that often occur and have a significant impact on Indonesia is the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The ENSO phenomenon causes fluctuations in rainfall that affect the production of the agricultural sector, especially plantation crops. This study uses the spatial panel analysis method to examine the effect of climate change using rainfall indicators on coffee prices. The data used are from the ten largest coffee-producing provinces with a time span from 2010 to 2020. The results show that rainfall has a significant effect on the increase in coffee prices, followed by other factors, substitution prices, productivity, population, and wages of farm labor in the plantation sub-sector. Meanwhile, the COVID-19 pandemic has had an effect on coffee prices.