Dampak Variabilitas Iklim terhadap Strategi Adaptasi dan Pendapatan Usahatani Padi (Studi Kasus: Kelurahan Katulampa, Kota Bogor)

Abstract

Variabilitas iklim yang terjadi di Katulampa berupa intensitas curah hujan yang tinggi, perubahan pola curah hujan dan serangan organisme pengganggu tanaman dapat menjadi ancaman bagi petani padi karena dapat berimbas pada pendapatan usahatani padi. Dampak variabilitas iklim yang besar memerlukan upaya strategi adaptasi. Penelitian ini bertujuan: (1) menganalisis persepsi petani terhadap variabilitas iklim; (2) mengestimasi perubahan pendapatan petani padi akibat variabilitas iklim; (3) mengidentifikasi strategi adaptasi yang dilakukan oleh petani dalam menghadapi variabilitas iklim; dan (4) menganalisis faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi biaya adaptasi petani. Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis deskriptif, skala Likert, analisis pendapatan usahatani dan metode regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa persepsi petani padi terhadap variabilitas iklim dan kerugian ekonomi cukup beragam. Variabilitas iklim menyebabkan perubahan rata-rata produktivitas dengan selisih sebesar 34%. Rata rata biaya adaptasi terbesar dilakukan oleh kelompok luas lahan >0,6 Ha. Faktor faktor yang memengaruhi biaya adaptasi yaitu variabel luas lahan dan variabel lama bertani

The climate variability that occurs in Katulampa, particularly high rainfall intensity, rainfall pattern change and attack of plant pests, will threaten rice farmers in terms of affecting rice farmers’ income. Therefore, impact of climate variability requires adaptation strategies. The objectives of this research are to: (1) analyze farmers perceptions of climate variability, (2) estimate changes in rice farmersincome due to climate variability (3) identify forms of adaptation strategies carried out by farmers in dealing with climate variability, (4) analyze factors that affect adaptation costs farmer. This research uses descriptive analysis, Likert scale, farm income analysis and multiple linear regression methods. The results showed that rice farmers perceptions of climate variability and economic losses were quite diverse. Climate variability causes a decrease in average productivity of 34%. The largest average adaptation cost was carried out by the land area group > 0.6, namely the cost of adaptation is carried out by the land area group > 0,6. Factors that affect adaptation costs are land area and duration of farming.