Faktor-Faktor yang Memengaruhi Utang Luar Negeri Pemerintah: Uji Panel Kointegrasi Periode Tahun 2000-2013

Abstract

External debt in almost countries all over the world recently has become a popular issue. All countries, either developing or developed ones have chosen external debt as their option in order to tackle budget deficit or even as one of stimulus ways to escalate performance of national development. However, the matter comes when the allocation of this so called external debt is usually not directed to some productive sectors. This study analyses which factors may properly influence the government external debt of developing and developed countries which represent some different areas. The Panel Cointegration approach is employed to investigate whether the existing relationship on the model is long run relationship or not. Overall, the findings of this study shows that these variables; exchange rate, GDPP, saving, inflation and interest rate significantly affect external debt, otherwise inflation and interest have no significant impact on external debt. Furthermore, all variables are cointegrated so the model has a long run relationship.