Sistem Pendukung Keputusan Perencanaan Pembangunan untuk Pertumbuhan Investasi Nasional

Abstract

Sustainable and constructive investment should start with a good planning and should be measurable. Therefore, to facilitate the planning of investment growth a decision support system is made to help government planners make a more measurable and directed planning. Measurable means the plan should be based on accurate data and is reliable, directed means regional investment planning policies are adapted to the conditions required by the area. This decision support system is developed based on the previous econometric research, regarding the Factors Affecting Investment in Indonesia during the 1985-2004 Period and the Analysis of Factors Affecting Foreign Direct Investment in Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta and also based on the results of a discussion with the functional planner at the Ministry of National Development Planning (PPN)/National Development Planning Agency (Bappenas). This system is processing the data using the multivariate regression, with which it can be obtained a positive/negative correlation between the Domestic Direct Investment (DDI) or Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and the economic variables. This correlation can be seen from the sign (positive/negative) on a given constant value, if the sign is positive, then it will be interpreted as a suggestion to make the policy that a certain sector as a focus on priority development policy planning, vice versa if it is a negative sign it will be interpreted as a suggestion to make a certain sector policies not as a focus on the priority of development policy planning. These suggestions will support planners at the Ministry of PPN/Bappenas during the planning as outlined in the document National Medium Term Development Plan (RPJMN) and the document Government Work Plan (RKP). The test results show that the accuracy of the system with regards to the previous/historical data is 52% for DDI and 24% for FDI.