Analysis of Economic Structure and Factors that Influence Job Opportunity in Jakarta

Abstract

This study aimed to determine the structure of economy and factors that affect job opportunity in Jakarta. Author used Shift Share Analysis, Location Quotient and Multiple Regression that was estimated with Least Square Method (OLS) in Semi-Log form. To examine the relations that happened on job opportunity, author used the regional autonomy as a dummy variable, FDI, domestic investment, GDRP, and investment lending rate, with time series data from the period 1993 until 2008. The result of Shift Share Analysis and Location Quotient since the implementation of regional autonomy showed that employment growth from the components of national employment growth, industry mix and competitive advantage were dominated by the tertiary sector, such as trade, hotels, and restaurants; transportations and communications sector; financial sector, renting and business services; and services sector. The four sectors above were also a basic sector in expanding job opportunity. The results of Multiple Regression Analysis showed that the dummy variable of regional autonomy, FDI, domestic investment, GDRP, and investment lending rate had simultaneous effect toward job opportunity. And partially, FDI, domestic investment and investment lending rate had significant effect toward job opportunity. Dummy variable of regional autonomy, FDI, domestic investment and GDRP had positive effect and investment landing rate had negative effect toward job opportunity. While dummy variable of regional autonomy and GDRP had positive and not significant effect toward job opportunity.

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui struktur perekonomian dan faktorfaktor yang mempengaruhi kesempatan kerja di DKI Jakarta. Analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah analisis Shift-Share, Loqation Quotient dan Multiple Regression yang ditaksir dengan Metode Kuadrat Terkecil (OLS) dalam bentuk Semi- Log. Adapun variabel yang digunakan untuk menelaah hubungan yang terjadi terhadap Kesempatan Kerja adalah variabel Dummy Otonomi Daerah, PMA, PMDN, PDRB dan Suku Bunga Kredit Investasi. Data yang digunakan runtut waktu (time series) tahun 1993-2008.