Pengaruh vaksinasi terhadap dinamika populasi pada model SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered)

Abstract

SIR model can be used to model the spread of diseases in a closed population based on certain assumptions. In this research, the SIR model is formulated by including the factor of vaccination. As the result, the model has been shown to have two equilibrium points, i.e. disease free and endemic equilibrium. A simulation study is carried out to illustrate the model. The results show that some equilibrium points are asymptotically stable. Moreover, a minimum level of vaccination has been defined. For the vaccination level less than the minimum level, increase in the vaccination level results in decrease of the proportion of infected individuals in the corresponding equilibrium point. On the other hand, for the vaccination level greater than the minimum level, increase in the vaccination level results in decrease the proportion of susceptible individuals in the corresponding equilibrium point. Furthermore, when vaccination level is greater than the minimum level, it is found that the time needed for the disease to extinct is shorter.