dc.contributor.advisor | Cahyadi, Eko Ruddy | |
dc.contributor.author | Putri, Safira Dwi Tyas | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2021-02-19T00:22:34Z | |
dc.date.available | 2021-02-19T00:22:34Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2021 | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://repository.ipb.ac.id/handle/123456789/106005 | |
dc.description.abstract | Munculnya kasus Coronavirus Disease (Covid-19) menimbulkan berbagai dampak bagi perekonomian Indonesia, salah satunya bagi penyedia seragam sekolah dengan adanya kebijakan Belajar Dari Rumah. Analisis peramalan permintaan pada Toko Endra penting untuk dilakukan agar toko dapat memperkirakan penjualan di periode berikutnya. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk meramalkan permintaan seragam dan menentukan metode peramalan kuantitatif terbaik untuk masing-masing jenis seragam. Peramalan dilakukan terhadap dua jenis seragam yaitu kemeja putih L dan rok pramuka XL. Metode yang digunakan adalah Analisis Tren, Moving Average, Double Exponential Smoothing, dan Winter’s Exponential Smoothing. Hasil menunjukkan bahwa metode yang tepat untuk meramalkan permintaan periode mendatang adalah Winter’s Exponential Smoothing bagi kemeja putih L dan metode Analisis Tren bagi rok pramuka XL karena memiliki nilai MAD dan MSE yang terkecil dibandingkan metode yang lainnya. | id |
dc.description.abstract | The Coronavirus Disease (Covid-19) pandemic effected stores that provide school uniform since the new rules of Study from Home was implemented to prevent the spread of the virus. Demand forecasting analysis of Toko Endra is important to predict the demand of school uniform for the next period. The purpose of this research are to forecast the demand of school uniform and to find the best quantitative method for each type of uniform. The forecast was performed on two type of uniform, White Shirt L and Scout Skirt XL. The method used were Trend Analysis, Moving Average, Double Exponential Smoothing, and Winter’s Exponential Smoothing. The result shows the best method to forecast the demand for the next period are Winter’s Exponential Smoothing for White Shirt L and Trend Analysis for Scout Skirt XL for having the smaller value of MAD and MSE than the others. | id |
dc.language.iso | id | id |
dc.publisher | IPB University | id |
dc.title | Analisis Peramalan Permintaan pada UMKM di Masa Pandemi Covid-19 (Studi Kasus: Toko Seragam Sekolah) | id |
dc.title.alternative | Demand Forecasting Analysis of SME in Times of Covid-19 Pandemic (Study Case: School Uniform Store) | id |
dc.type | Undergraduate Thesis | id |
dc.subject.keyword | Double Exponential Smoothing | id |
dc.subject.keyword | MAD | id |
dc.subject.keyword | Moving Average | id |
dc.subject.keyword | MSE | id |
dc.subject.keyword | Trend Analysis | id |
dc.subject.keyword | Triple Exponential Smoothing | id |